Climate Risk Stress Testing for Physical Risk from Natural Hazards
Methodologies on Climate Scenario Analysis for insurers have been developing rapidly over last years. Ongoing attention by all stakeholders, pilot exercises all over the world and a substantial increase in awareness towards climate-related risks have incited insurers to develop and refine their stress testing capabilities on climate-related risks.
In this session, we will focus on the practical aspects of physical climate risk modelling and scenario analysis for insurers, providing a step-by-step walkthrough on key elements of such an analysis based on a case study. Specifically, we will discuss and illustrate hands-on approaches on modelling damages on location-based portfolios, such as real estate asset or property insurance portfolios. We will present results from case studies on damages from flood, hail, wildfire, and tropical cyclones for selected countries, leveraging peer-reviewed public data. Furthermore, we will discuss the challenges on application for insurers, and also highlight key assumptions, limitations and uncertainties accompanying this assessment.